Hillary Clinton, working with her husband, has developed a mastery of manipulating the minority vote to win elections.
Given the backing of Barack Obama for the former Secretary of State, in the event she is able to fend off the challenge from Socialist Bernie Sanders, the general election will be a tough challenge for any GOP contender.
In 2012, voter turnout among Caucasians was 67%, African Americans voted at 70% and Hispanics turned out at 60%.
Asians and “others” produced at 49% turnout in 2012.
How did they vote?
Republicans captured 60% of the Caucasian vote, a mere 6% of the black vote, 28% of the Hispanic vote and 32% of the Asian and “other” vote.
Those numbers correlated in a 7.6 million vote victory for Barack Obama who took home 332 Electoral College votes over 206 votes for Mitt Romney.
If the turnout numbers hold in 2016 (they are likely to increase across the board), 45 million racial minorities will be voting this year compared to 98 million Caucasians. Minority voters will represent 46% of the vote.
Of the minority voting blocks, a whopping 78% of that vote traditionally . . . and religiously . . . goes to the Democrat’s candidate.
That will leave Hillary with a 25% advantage going into the general election.
In order to win, the Republican candidate will have to “flip” 4% of Caucasian voters to vote with the GOP rather than with Hillary.
If the Hispanic vote drops in support for the Republican, even by five points, a four point flip among White voters would still be enough to garner 280 Electoral Votes and take the White House.
Possible?
The GOP candidate has not garnered more than 60.2% of the White vote since 2000.
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