Democrats might not want to start celebrating the 2018 election just yet. According to the latest poll, their advantage over Republicans has almost completely collapsed—practically overnight.
In a Monmouth poll released on January 30, Democrats held just a +2 advantage over Republicans in the so-called “generic congressional vote”—which asks voters which party they’d rather vote for in November.
Democrats led Republicans just 47% to 45%—a statistical tie.
But what’s really raising eyebrows is how the Democrats’ poll numbers seem to be in complete free fall—and how quickly their collapse has happened.
In the previous Monmouth poll from December 2017, just six weeks ago, Monmouth gave Democrats a whopping +15 advantage—putting them up on Republicans 51% to 36%.
That means, according to Monmouth, the Democrats’ edge over Republicans has declined of 86.67%. In just one month.
A number of factors could be causing the Democrats’ sudden collapse among voters—namely, their botched handling of the government shutdown and the unexpectedly growing popularity of the Republican-backed tax reform law, which did not receive a single Democratic vote.
But whatever the cause, the Democrats have been put on notice: the 2018 election is far from decided.
